Publications

Journal Publications (* indicates student author)

Zobel, C.W., MacKenzie, C.A., Baghersad, M., & Li, Y. (2021). Establishing a frame of reference for measuring disaster resilience. Decision Support Systems, 140, 113406.

Giahi, R.*, MacKenzie, C.A., & Hu, C. (2020). Design optimization for resilience for risk-averse firms. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 139, 106122.

Lei, X.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2020). Distinguishing between common cause variation and special cause variation in a manufacturing system: A simulation of decision making for different types of variation. International Journal of Production Economics, 220, 107446.

MacKenzie, C.A., Bryden, K.A., & Prisacari, A.* (2020). Integrating narratives into decision making for complex systems engineering problems. Systems Engineering, 23(1), 65-81. Author’s accepted version

Rane, V.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2020). Evaluating students with online testing modules in engineering economics: A comparison of student performance with online testing and with traditional assessments. The Engineering Economist, 65(3), 213-235.

Sherwin, M.D.*, Medal, H.R., MacKenzie, C.A., & Brown, K.J.* (2020). Identifying and mitigating supply chain risks using fault tree optimization. IISE Transactions, 52(2), 236-254. (Honorable Mention for Best Paper in IISE Transactions.) Author’s accepted manuscript

Lei, X.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2019). Assessing risk in different types of supply chains with a dynamic fault tree. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 137: 106061. (An author’s accepted version is currently under embargo and will be available September 2022. Please email me if you would like a version.)

MacKenzie, C.A., & Hu, C. (2018). Decision making under uncertainty for design of resilient engineered systems. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. In press. Author’s accepted manuscript

Regnier, E.D., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2019). The Hurricane Decision Simulator: A tool for Marine Forces in New Orleans to practice operations management in advance of a hurricane. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 21(1), 103-120. (Finalist for 2017 Manufacturing & Service Operations Management Practice-Based Competition; Finalist for 2017 Public Sector OR Best Paper Award.) Author’s accepted manuscript

Alhasan, A., Nlenanya, I., Smadi, O., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2018). Impact of pavement surface condition on roadway departure crash risk in Iowa. Infrastructures, 32(2). Author’s accepted manuscript

Sadoughi, M.K.*, Li, M.*, Hu, C., MacKenzie, C.A., Lee, S.*, & Eshghi, A.T.* (2018). High-dimensional reliability analysis of engineered systems involving computationally expensive black-box simulations. Journal of Mechanical Design, 140(7), 071401-1 – 071401-12.

Sivaprasad, S.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2018). The Hurwicz decision rule’s relationship to decision making with the triangle and beta distributions and exponential utility. Decision Analysis, 15(3), 139-153. Author’s accepted manuscript

Stallard (Voelker), M.M.*, MacKenzie, C.A., & Peters, F.E. (2018). A probabilistic model to estimate visual inspection error for metalcastings given different training and judgment types, environmental and human factors, and percent of defects. Journal of Manufacturing Systems 48(A), 97-106. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., & Apte, A. (2017). Modeling disruption in a fresh produce supply chain. International Journal of Logistics Management, 28(2), 656-679. Author’s accepted manuscript

Sadoughi, M.K.*, Hu, C., MacKenzie, C.A., Eshgi, A.T., & Lee, S.* (2017). Sequential exploration-exploitation with dynamic trade-off for efficient reliability analysis of complex engineered systems. Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization. Author’s accepted version

Gallager, M.A., MacKenzie, C.A., Blum, D.M., & Boerman, D.A. (2016). Improving risk assessment communication. Military Operations Research Journal, 21(1), 5-20. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., Baroud, H., & Barker, K. (2016). Static and dynamic resource allocation models for recovery of interdependent systems: Application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. Annals of Operations Research, 236(1), 103-129. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., & Zobel, C.W. (2016). Allocating resources to enhance resilience, with application to Superstorm Sandy and an electric utility. Risk Analysis, 36(4), 847-862. Author’s accepted manuscript

Maalouf, M., MacKenzie, C.A., Radakrishnan, S., & Court, M. (2014). A new fuzzy logic approach to capacitated dynamic dial-a-ride problem. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 255, 30-40. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A. (2014). Summarizing risk using risk measures and risk indices. Risk Analysis, 34(12), 2143-2162. Author’s pre-peer reviewed manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., Barker, K., & Santos, J.R. (2014). Modeling a severe supply chain disruption and post-disaster decision making with application to the Japanese earthquake and tsunami. IIE Transactions, 46(12), 1243-1260. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., Trafalis, T.B., & Barker, K. (2014). A Bayesian beta kernel model for binary classification and online learning problems. Statistical Analysis and Data Mining, 7(6), 434-449. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., & Barker, K. (2013). Empirical data and regression analysis for estimation of infrastructure resilience, with application to electric power outages. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 19(1), 25-35. Author’s accepted manuscript

Winterstein, S.R., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2013). Extremes of nonlinear vibration: Comparing models based on moments, L-moments, and maximum entropy. Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, 135(2), 021602.1-021602.7. Author’s published manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., Barker, K., & Grant, F.H. (2012). Evaluating the consequences of an inland waterway port closure with a dynamic multiregional interdependency model. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, 42(2), 359-370. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., Santos, J.R., & Barker, K. (2012). Measuring changes in international production from a disruption: Case study of the Japanese earthquake and tsunami. International Journal of Production Economics, 138(2), 293-302. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A. (2010). Book review on Douglas Hubbard, Failure of Risk Management: Why It’s Broken and How to Fix It. Risk Analysis, 30(2), 524-525. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A. (2002). Building democracy in Pakistan. Journal of Public and International Affairs, 13, 104-122.

Book Chapters (* indicates student author)

MacKenzie, C.A., & Al Kazimi, A.** (2021). Optimal resource allocation model to prevent, prepare, and respond to multiple disruptions, with application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill and Hurricane Katrina. In S. Chatterjee, R.T. Brigantic, & A.M. Waterworth, eds., Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions New York: Wiley, 284-299.

Min, K.J., MacKenzie, C.A., & Ryan, S.M. (2021). Life cycle costing with environmental factors. To appear in Maynard’s Industrial Engineering Handbook, 6th ed.

Sonar, A.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2017). Supply chain disruption preparedness measures using Wagner-Whitin model. In Y. Khojasteh, ed., Supply Chain Risk Management: Advanced Tools, Models, and Developments Singapore: Springer, 123-137. Author’s accepted manuscript

Vinayak, A.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2017). A quantitative model for analyzing market response during supply chain disruptions. In Y. Khojasteh, ed., Supply Chain Risk Management: Advanced Tools, Models, and Developments Singapore: Springer, 139-153. Author’s accepted manuscript

Everly, R.E.*, Limmer, D.C.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2015). Cost-effectiveness analysis of autonomous aerial platforms and communication payloads. In F. Melese, A. Richter, & B. Solomon, eds., Military Cost-Benefit Analysis: Theory and Practice New York: Routledge, 401-423. Corresponding Excel spreadsheets for UAV effectiveness for disaster relief, long-range scenario, and tactical scenario; and for communication payload effectiveness for disaster relief, long-range scenario, and tactical scenario.

Wall, K.D., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2015). Multiple objective decision making. In F. Melese, A. Richter, & B. Solomon, eds., Military Cost-Benefit Analysis: Theory and Practice New York: Routledge, 197-236.

Papers in Submission (* indicates student author)

Giahi, R.*, MacKenzie, C.A., & Hu, C. (2021). Optimizing the flexible design of hybrid renewable energy systems. Under review.

Sherwin, M.D, Medal, H.R., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2021). Quantitative assessment of factors that influence and predict supplier reliability using logistic regression. Under review

Lei, X.*, C.A. MacKenzie, C.A., & Li, Q. (2020). Analysis and forecasting of mass shootings using change point detection. Under review.

Yao, L.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2017). A resource allocation model for deep uncertainty (RAM-DU), with application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. Under review.

Conference Proceedings (* indicates student author, ** indicates undergraduate student author)

Shukla, C.*, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2020). Billion-dollar natural disasters: What does the future look like? In L. Cromarty, R. Shirwaiker, & P. Wang, eds., Proceedings of the 2020 Industrial and Systems Engineering Conference. Institute for Industrial and Systems Engineering (IISE) Annual Conference and Expo, November 1-3, Virtual. (Winner of best paper award for the Engineering Economy Division.)

Giahi, R.*, MacKenzie, C.A., & Hu, C. (2019). A multi-stage optimization model for flexibility in engineering design. In E. Romeijn, A. Schaefer, & R. Thomas, eds., Proceedings of the 2019 Industrial and Systems Engineering Conference. IISE Annual Conference and Expo, May 18-21, Orlando, FL. (Winner of best paper award for the Engineering Economy Division.)

Mittal, A.*, MacKenzie, C.A., Krejci, C.C., & Elkins, T.B.** (2018). Modeling uncertainty in rooftop PV investment return. In K. Barker, D. Berry, & C. Rainwater, eds., Proceedings of the 2018 Industrial and Systems Engineering Conference. IISE Annual Conference and Expo, May 19-22, Orlando, FL.

Weflan, E.*, Korniejczuk, K.*, Lau, S.*, Kryk, S.*, MacKenzie, C.A., & Rivero, I.V. (2018). Application of Bayesian belief network for agile Kanban backlog estimation. In K. Barker, D. Berry, & C. Rainwater, eds., Proceedings of the 2018 Industrial and Systems Engineering Conference. IISE Annual Conference and Expo, May 19-22, Orlando, FL.

Li, Z.*, Krejci, C., MacKenzie, C.A., Jackman, J., Hu, G., Hu, C.Y., Graunke, A.A., & Burnett, G.A. (2017). Capacity planning and production scheduling for aircraft painting operations. In K. Coperich, E. Cudney, & H. Nembhard, eds., Proceedings of the 2017 Industrial and Systems Engineering Conference. IISE Annual Conference and Expo, May 20-23, Pittsburgh, PA.

Sadoughi, M.*, Li, M.*, Hu, C., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2017). High-dimensional reliability analysis of engineered systems involving computationally expensive black-box simulations. ASME,IDETC/CIE, Aug. 6-9, Cleveland, OH.

Sadoughi, M.*, Hu, C., MacKenzie, C.A., & Lee, S.* (2017). A maximum expected utility method for reliability analysis of complex engineered systems. 2017 AIAA Aviation Forum, Jun. 5-9, Denver, CO.

Zhang, M.*, MacKenzie, C.A., Krejci, C., Jackman, J., Hu, G., Hu, C.Y., Burnett, G.A., & Graunke, A.A. (2017). Probabilistic methods for long-term demand forecasting for aviation production planning. In K. Coperich, E. Cudney, & H. Nembhard, eds., Proceedings of the 2017 Industrial and Systems Engineering Conference. IISE Annual Conference and Expo, May 20-23, Pittsburgh, PA.

Al Kazimi, A.**, & MacKenzie, C.A. (2016). The economic costs of natural disasters, terrorist attacks, and other calamities: An analysis of economic models that quantify the losses caused by disruptions. In Proceedings of the 2016 Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium, Apr. 29, Charlottesville, VA, pp. 32-37. Author’s accepted manuscript

Du, Y.*, Dorneich, M., Steward, B., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2016). A Bayesian-influence model for error probability analysis of combine operations in harvesting. In Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting, Sep. 19-23, Washington, DC, pp. 1414-1418. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., & Regnier, E. (2015). A hurricane decision simulator for the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve Forces in New Orleans. In Proceedings of the Western Decision Sciences Institute Annual Meeting. Western Decision Sciences Institute Annual Meeting, Mar. 31-Apr. 3, Maui, HI.

MacKenzie, C.A. (2013). Optimal resource allocation for preparedness and recovery of interdependent systems. In Proceedings of the Western Economics Association International Annual Conference. Western Economics Association International Annual Conference, Jun. 28-Jul. 2, Seattle, WA.

Baroud, H., Barker, K., Lurvey, R., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2013). Bayesian kernel models for disruptive event data. In A. Krishnamurthy, & W.K.V. Chan, eds., Proceedings of the 2013 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. Institute for Industrial Engineers (IIE) Annual Conference and Expo, May 18-22, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

MacKenzie, C.A., Baroud, H., & Barker, K. (2012). Optimal resource allocation for recovery of interdependent systems: Case study of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. In G. Lim, & J.W. Herrmann, eds., Proceedings of the 2012 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. Institute for Industrial Engineers Annual Conference and Expo, May 19-23, Orlando, FL. Author’s accepted manuscript

Maalouf, M., MacKenzie, C.A., Radakrishnan, S., & Court, M. (2012). A new fuzzy logic approach to dynamic dial-a-ride problem. In G. Lim, & J.W. Herrmann, eds., Proceedings of the 2012 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. Institute for Industrial Engineers Annual Conference and Expo, May 19-23, Orlando, FL. Author’s accepted manuscript

MacKenzie, C.A., & Barker, K. (2011). Conceptualizing the broader impacts of industry preparedness strategies with a risk-based input-output model. In M.L. Lahr, & K. Hubacek, eds., Proceedings of the 19th International Input-Output Conference. International Input-Output Association, Jun. 13-17, Alexandria, VA.

MacKenzie, C.A., & Winterstein, S.R. (2011). Comparing L-moments and conventional moments to model current speeds in the North Sea. In T. Doolen, & E. Van Aken, eds., Proceedings of the 2011 Industrial Engineering Research Conference. Institute for Industrial Engineers Annual Conference and Expo, May 21-25, Reno, NV.

Winterstein, S.R., & MacKenzie, C.A. (2011). Extremes of nonlinear vibration: Models based on moments, L-moments, and maximum entropy. In Proceedings of the 30th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Artic Engineering. Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering (OMAE), Jun. 19-24, Rotterdam, Netherlands.